Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 7.517587 8.791693 10.188242 11.828869 13.699516 15.761930 18.203763
2026-02-01 5.175386 6.833019 8.846136 11.452932 14.719101 18.654413 23.730712
2026-02-08 3.768386 5.494916 7.772721 10.958087 15.250786 20.782289 28.386515
2026-02-15 2.885677 4.584819 6.990700 10.579312 15.714524 22.701784 32.808142
2026-02-22 2.444565 4.179354 6.786954 10.891002 17.060123 25.832207 39.046767
2026-03-01 2.114743 3.864886 6.641182 11.224599 18.418898 29.047898 45.630127
2026-03-08 1.719959 3.362813 6.113517 10.874693 18.671197 30.624973 49.911291
2026-03-15 1.425675 2.972031 5.696230 10.623774 19.013298 32.318350 54.446859
2026-03-22 1.306821 2.875564 5.759227 11.168707 20.677514 36.177329 62.595544
2026-03-29 1.180308 2.739367 5.726993 11.532970 22.056768 39.666295 70.385911
2026-04-05 1.030692 2.527443 5.520572 11.549534 22.820247 42.179600 76.740164
2026-04-12 0.893410 2.314450 5.278652 11.462999 23.376682 44.364096 82.670346
2026-04-19 0.741141 2.047884 4.910956 11.131422 23.533092 46.015293 88.087443
2026-04-26 0.615221 1.816586 4.583954 10.847346 23.770064 47.871589 94.096656
2026-05-03 0.499086 1.579698 4.201537 10.389528 23.608898 48.979135 98.849777
2026-05-10 0.410007 1.389456 3.888928 10.030878 23.594520 50.339320 104.142126
2026-05-17 0.370553 1.327666 3.871855 10.328756 24.968378 54.457009 114.865239
2026-05-24 0.336783 1.273887 3.864956 10.647176 26.414075 58.819847 126.345950
2026-05-31 0.279779 1.131279 3.601486 10.313320 26.391936 60.241548 132.217591
2026-06-07 0.235544 1.016567 3.390057 10.073935 26.548664 62.027285 138.913818
2026-06-14 0.222567 1.007098 3.472284 10.593867 28.505816 67.700786 153.781257
2026-06-21 0.205199 0.976658 3.488227 10.941492 30.088540 72.689656 167.555252
2026-06-28 0.180632 0.910945 3.386149 10.957301 30.873276 76.014607 178.092926